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Ex-skeptic tells US Congress climate change is real

Tuesday, January 17th, 2012

WASHINGTON — A prominent climate change skeptic told Congress on Monday he no longer doubts that global warming is real and caused by humans, and joined other scientists in urging action to stop it.

Physicist Richard Muller, director of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Project, whose two-year research was funded in part by a foundation formed by the conservative billionaire Koch brothers, said he could find no bias in other studies.

“We confirm that over the last 50 years, temperature has risen 0.9 degrees Celsius, or 1.6 degrees Fahrenheit. This is the same number that the IPCC (UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) says.”

Muller told the House Committee on Natural Resources that while he remains cautious about the extent to which humans have played a role, he now hopes other climate skeptics will come on board with his findings.

“As they read and study our papers, I am hoping that many of them will reflect my belief that they are open-minded and come to agree that yes, climate change temperature increase certainly has happened,” he said.

“The amount that is due to humans is still open and there are very big uncertainties in that,” Muller added, urging continued study of the matter.

“In my mind, humans have contributed to climate change. The real issue is how much?”

Muller’s appearance on Capitol Hill was his first since his research was released last month, and comes just weeks after the Department of Energy reported a six percent increase last year in carbon output worldwide, the biggest jump ever.

Ranking committee Democrat Ed Markey lamented the United States’ failure to act and applauded Australia’s recent approval of a carbon tax to force its coal-fired power stations and other major emitters to “pay to pollute.”

“Other countries are taking the threat seriously. Australia just passed a set of bills designed to reduce carbon pollution and positioned their country to compete in the global clean energy race,” Markey said.

“The attacks on climate science have been a colossal distraction from the debate we should be having Congress on what actions should be taken to reduce pollution, create jobs, reclaim our lead in the clean energy race.”

His colleague, Democrat Henry Waxman, said the Republican-controlled Congress had voted 21 times to block actions that would have addressed climate change.

“History will look back on this science denial with profound regret,” Waxman said.

“When a prominent skeptic publishes a study determining that global warming is real, that is information Congress needs to hear.”

Also on the panel was Ben Santer, research scientist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, who told lawmakers that international scientists have considered a host of different factors in their research, including rainfall, sea level pressure, continental runoff, surface humidity, and atmospheric moisture.

“The bottom line message in each case is, natural causation alone cannot explain the changes we see,” Santer said.

“People sometimes incorrectly say, ‘You climate scientists never consider alternate hypotheses, alternate plausible explanations of the observations.’ That is not true,” he added.

“We routinely consider such alternate hypotheses and try and determine whether they fit the available observations. They do not.”

William Chameides, dean of Duke University’s Nicholas School of the Environment in North Carolina and vice chair of the National Academies’ Committee on America’s Climate Choices, said there is a “pressing need for substantial actions.”

Chameides helped produce a report earlier this year that urged the US government to reduce greenhouse gas emissions through a carbon pricing system and invest in research and development to mitigate its harmful effects.

“We know we are facing a risk. We know that the longer we take to act, the worse that risk is,” he told lawmakers.

“With each ton of greenhouse gasses that we put into the atmosphere, we are increasing the risks of dangerous impacts of climate change, and those risks will be with us for many, many years. Perhaps 1,000 years,” he added.

“Twenty percent of the C02 that we emit today when we all drive home and I fly home tonight, will be in the atmosphere, warming the atmosphere in 1,000 years,” he said.

“It is something to think about very carefully when we think about our legacy for future generations.”

Natural refrigerant products on display at FEBRAVA 2011

Monday, November 7th, 2011

The 17th FEBRAVA trade fair took place in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on 20 – 23 September, bringing together leading market players for the HVAC&R sector in Brazil and internationally. The hot topic at this year’s event was Brazil’s HCFC phase out management plan. Several companies working with natural refrigerants exhibited their products.

Nearly 29,000 visitors attended FEBRAVA 2011, the largest trade fair in South America, where some 500 exhibitors displayed products and organised technical seminars. One of the five “Thematic Islands” at this year’s conference was the “Environment Island” hosted by the Brazilian Environment Ministry (MMA), in collaboration with, the Brazilian Institute of Environment and Renewable Natural Resources (IBAMA), GIZ, and the United Nations Development Program (UNDP), which aimed to raise awareness of Brazil’s HCFC phase-out programme, launched this summer in Montreal, Canada.

FEBRAVA Exhibitors

  • Danfoss – The Danish company has taken part in this trade fair since the first edition, and this year launched 8 new products, including a line of variable speed drives for CO2, and electronically operated expansion valves for systems including those using ammonia as the refrigerant.
Speaking about the importance of Febrava, Sales Director of the Division of Refrigeration and Air Conditioning of Danfoss Brazil, said “FEBRAVA is the most important event of Latin America for the air conditioning industry, bringing together the main manufacturers and attracting buyers from several countries of the Latin America… With more than 40 years of operations in Brazil, we take advantage of the event to reinforce the visibility of our products.”
  • Gree: The Chinese company, which specialises in manufacturing air conditioners, and recently launched a line of hydrocarbon air conditioners in China, has been in operation in Brazil since 1998. At FEBRAVA the company presented a new line of air conditioners including the Gree R290 Inverter.
  • Tecumseh: Tecumseh, a company working with hydrocarbon refrigerants and one of the leading compressor manufacturers in Brazil, presented the TA – Hermetic compressor, a newer, lighter, and quieter solution for domestic refrigeration and light commercial refrigeration, for use with environmentally sound hydrocarbon refrigerants (R-600a/R-290).
Tecumseh was also involved in developing the air conditioning system for the electric car presented at FEBRAVA, for which it collaborated with CPFL/ITAIPU. Tecumseh is currently developing R290 and R600a Masterflux compressors for automotive air conditioning.
  • Emerson: At this year’s FEBRAVA Emerson presented its Copeland scroll compressor specially designed for high-pressure systems and available for CO2.
  • SWEP: The company that specialises in the heat transfer field presented its AsyMatrix plates that have an asymmetric channel configuration for maximum performance, and can be used in natural refrigrant applications.

Precautionary principle favours natural refrigerants, MEP tells ATMOsphere Europe 2011 participants

Monday, November 7th, 2011

The precautionary principle favours natural refrigerants because they have been around for a very long time. This was part of the concluding remarks of a dinner speech at ATMOsphere Europe 2011 by Theodoros Skylakakis, Member of the European Parliament (MEP) and author of a recently adopted Motion for a Resolution calling the EU to step up action on addressing HFC and other non-CO2 emissions.

First day presentations at ATMOsphere Europe 2011 – the interactive workshop and conference on natural refrigerants – covered market trends, technology case studies and from the policy side the current EU F-Gas Regulation and its imminent revision, as well as experiences and lessons to be learnt from Member States with more stringent f-gas policies.

Internalising environmental cost and applying the precautionary principle

A dinner speech on 11 October 2011 to 160 event participants by Member of the European Parliament (MEP) Theodoros Skylakakis concluded the first day by highlighting that currently in Europe there is no policy in place that internalises the environmental cost of refrigerants, and that a level playing field is lacking that would allow for a fair evaluation of natural refrigerants and HFCs. “I don’t care what kind of refrigerants we use as long as we have managed to internalise their environmental cost. However, this is not the case between HFCs and natural refrigerants. We don’t yet have a policy in Europe that treats fairly natural refrigerants and the situation is even worse if one looks at the international scene”, stated the MEP.

Other aspects necessitating consideration by policy makers include the innovation curve and most notably the precautionary principle, which both favour natural refrigerants. “[On] the innovation curve… we know that these products have not yet climbed to the most advantageous part of the curve, due to unfair competition – if we calculate the environmental cost – from HFCs and other environmentally harmful refrigerants. The precautionary principle favours them because natural refrigerants have been around for a very long time and they don’t carry the danger of an outlier event, which is not the case for new untested chemicals”.

Non-CO2 greenhouse gases moving up the EU agenda

The dinner speech gave a clear signal that greenhouse gases other than CO2 are moving up the EU political agenda. And this is not only within the sphere of the European Commission, which recently published a report recognising the shortcomings of its current F-Gas Regulation and the need for further action that will facilitate a transition to HFC-free solutions, but also within the European Parliament that is now putting increasing pressure on the EU executive to draw up legislative measures that will allow the EU to decrease HFC emissions in the long term rather than merely stabilise these at today’s levels.

“It was not a mistake to start with CO2 and to focus the European and international policies primarily on long term reduction in CO2 emissions […]”, Skylakakis noted. “However, we now need a comprehensive European climate policy which can benefit from considering all sources of warming and all mitigation options; so in addition to considering CO2 emission reductions, we should place emphasis on strategies that can produce the fastest climate response”. Fast-action regulatory strategies to phase down production and consumption of HFCs can begin within 2-3 years and be substantially implemented within 5–10 years, producing the desired climate response within decades or sooner, at a public price much lower than the EU ETS carbon price.”

The recently adopted motion for a resolution on non-CO2 emissions

In mid September, the European Parliament adopted with a great majority a motion for a resolution on “A comprehensive approach to non-CO2 climate-relevant anthropogenic emissions”, which notes that:

  1. domestic action on fluorinated gases in the shape of the F-Gas Regulation has fallen far short of expectations and that failure to address its shortcomings will weaken considerably the EU’s UNFCCC negotiating position;
  2. the Commission must come forward with a revision of F-gas regulations …
  3. the European Union must strongly support action on HFCs under the Montreal Protocol as a prime example of a non-market-based approach to reducing greenhouse gas emissions at COP-17 in Durban;

“An environmentalist with a calculator”, Mr Skylakakis is one of the two authors of the motion for a resolution. He first got interested in non-CO2 emissions after finding out that European consumers have already paid through the Clean Development Mechanism €1.5bn to destroy HFC-23 at 70 times the actual cost, thus creating huge windfall profits for a handful of companies.

Towards industrial scale production of HC chillers and heat pumps

Monday, November 7th, 2011

Industrial scale production of hydrocarbon chillers has been put into action by Johnson Controls, while that of hydrocarbon heat pumps will soon follow. The company has gained valuable experience with hydrocarbon technology installations, such as the one made for the Åarhus University Hospital Skejby, where both chillers and heat pumps with hydrocarbon refrigerants are currently in operation.

The case study from the Åarhus University Hospital project was presented by Alexander Cohr Pachai, Technology Manager at Johnson Controls, Denmark on the first day of the ATMOsphere Europe 2011 workshop on natural refrigerants, held in Brussels on 11-12 October 2011.

R290 selected for chillers and R600a for heat pumps

The Aarhus University Hospital Skejby has been gradually expanding the site and needed new chillers to replace out of date R22 chillers. Hydrocarbon refrigerant R290 (propane) was quickly chosen for the chillers. The chillers used are a standard product producing cooling at 9/15°C 35% propylene glycol.

Moreover, the latest installation in November 2010 also included two heat pumps for which isobutane (R600a) was selected after having evaluated other options including R744. The R600a heat pumps produce hot water at 80°C in wintertime and 70°C in the summer period, while they also deliver the required cooling capacity in wintertime.

One of the challenges was optimising the system to allow the use of semi-hermetic screw compressors. The efficiency was evaluated against other options and was qualified by being the best overall solution for the project.

Scaling up production of hydrocarbon technology

Johnson Controls is currently looking at other sites where they could provide the same system, and receive some sort of commitment from the market that would break the often encountered “chicken and egg” situation: suppliers do not scale up production unless market demand is there, while there is no market demand unless the price has reached a competitive level that can only be attained thanks to economies of scale achieved through industrial scale production.

Despite this, the company:

  • Has already put into action the plan for industrial scale production of R290 chillers
  • Will soon be putting forward industrial scale production of R600a heat pumps: Currently the company is producing at industrial scale ammonia heat pumps (72°C) and it will be launching ammonia heat pumps (72°C) at the beginning of 2012. Industrial scale production of R600a heat pumps will follow shortly after

Need for clear timelines from policy makers

Turning to what the industry would like from the political world, “we do not need more smoke signals – we understood the message; We just need some clear dates – the technology is ready so lets get going”, said Mr Pachai – referring to the imminent review of the EU f-gas policy.

The industry needs clear timelines to enable investment in and a transition towards more climate friendly HVAC&R technologies.

Recommendations for enabling hydrocarbon technology

Hydrocarbon refrigerants are widely used in Denmark, are offered by several suppliers and have become an accepted technology.

The authorities and fire brigade are used to this type of equipment, with well-understood regulations in place. But while realising projects, it is important to consult local authorities “in their own territory” and make them visit the installations to understand what the project is about.

Training is the only remaining barrier to a wide roll out of hydrocarbon technology. It takes about 1-2 days to train someone in hydrocarbons, if they are already knowledgeable about HFCs. The development of guidelines and calculation tools could also help people to overcome psychological barriers.

Exclusive interview Professor Roberto Peixoto, IMT, Brazil – Part 2

Monday, November 7th, 2011

In the second part of our interview, Professor Roberto Peixoto from the Instituto Maua de Tecnologia (IMT), Brazil, speaks about the possibility of replicating the Chinese Gree experience and developing a hydrocarbon production line in Brazil, about natural refrigerants in commercial applications, and about Brazil’s HCFC Phase-out Management Plan (HPMP).

hydrocarbons21.com: Earlier this year Gree opened a production line for hydrocarbon air conditioners in China. What are the prospects for a similar project in another BRIC country such as Brazil?

Roberto Peixoto: There is a big difference between China and Brazil: China has
several national Chinese manufacturers producing air conditioning equipment. In Brazil there is no large nationally owned company equivalent to Gree. We have American, European, Japanese and Korean companies assembling air conditioners in the special economic zones, particularly in the North in Manaus. Therefore, the decision to start such a project in Brazil would depend very much on these multinational companies and their global strategy.
There is one driving force that could provide an incentive for such a project, and that is the strong economic growth that Brazil is experiencing. We will have to wait and see.
hydrocarbons21.com: At the 64th Meeting of the Executive Committee of the Multilateral Fund Brazil’s HCFC Phase out Management Plan (HPMP) was approved. What provisions for natural refrigerants such as hydrocarbons, is any, can be found in the Brazilian HPMP?
Roberto Peixoto: In the case of Brazil the country’s HPMP will not have much of an impact on the refrigeration and air conditioning industry because the HPMP addresses for the most part foam. In Brazil there is a huge consumption of HCFC 141b. The strategy adopted by the Brazilian government and the UNDP that developed the plan was to focus on reduction in use in this area.
With regards to the refrigeration and air conditioning sector, the Brazilian HPMP does address emissions reductions together with the need to ensure proper servicing and make systems leak tight, which will affect commercial refrigeration and in particular supermarkets. In the first instance therefore, there will be no conversions to natural refrigerants, as a result of the HPMP.
However, there could be potential for natural refrigerants in the Chilean HPMP, which includes a provision for a supermarket demonstration project using low a GWP refrigerant, such as a natural refrigerant.
hydrocarbons21.com: With regard to commercial refrigeration, Brazilian supermarket Verdemar, in Belo Horizonte, recently pioneered the use of CO2 as a refrigerant, whilst in the UK some retailers have invested in hydrocarbon commercial refrigeration installations. Do you know of any Brazilian retailers preparing to trial the use of hydrocarbon refrigerants?
Roberto Peixoto: There is a company in the South of Brazil that has tested a refrigeration unit in a laboratory that uses hydrocarbon as the primary refrigerant in a direct system. However, I do not know of any plans yet to build a store using this technology. For the CO2 installation I know that Bitzer was very much involved and are aiming to launch a second CO2 store later this year.
hydrocarbons21.com: Hydrocarbons are commonly used in as a refrigerant in mobile air conditioning (MAC) systems in Australia. Are there hydrocarbon MACs in Brazil?
Roberto Peixoto: There are no hydrocarbon MACs in Brazil that I know of, but perhaps there are in rural areas where there is limited servicing infrastructure for the traditional refrigerants such as R134a.
If someone wants to use hydrocarbons in an appropriate way they have to follow strict procedures to avoid any safety issues.
hydrocarbons21.com: How does Brazil view HFC phase-out proposals?
Roberto Peixoto: The Brazilian government, together with India and China have been very resistant to these proposals. I think the Brazilian position depends very much on how other Article 5 countries like China and India address HFC phase-out proposals.